5 Comments

The political objective is clear in the short term. However, Israel has a big public relations problem both internally globally. The “mowing the grass” mentality has turned turned Israel into a de facto apartheid state where Palestinians and Arab Jewish citizens are second class citizens or worse. Any civilian casualties will be blamed on Israel even if not true! We have seen this with the explosion at the one hospital in Gaza. Imagine the scale with a full blown ground invasion? What Israel needs is to have a plan and strategy for the “peace”. To communicate that plan and get buy in on it. And that is before they execute the full blown mission against Hamas. In the meantime, they can use their control of the air and intel sources to take out key leaders and nodes as they are discovered. In this way, they will have to adopt the Ukrainian thinking of war to minimize their own casualties and minimize civilian casualties while swaying opinion to their side.

I fear any Netanyahu led government will not have the time, patience, or open mindedness to undertake such a strategy and that we are headed for a disastrous outcome.

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Palestinians and arabs in Israel have the same rights as Israelis though. They have a much better life in Israel than in Palestine.

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Every day that Israel delays the big move gives me greater confidence in their calculation. One neat trick they are likely to take from observing the war in Ukraine would be to dominate the drone signal spectrum with brute force and blanket the low aerials in fixed-wing and quadcopter drones. Situational awareness matters. Loitering munitions can respond to threats while they are still forming. EW is a domain where the IDF has complete supremacy and they should exploit the advantage.

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Matt, agreed on this part, but it is only one aspect of many the IDF would need to implement. The unity government needs to completely change its way of thinking regarding their Palestinian neighbors now and going forward. At least this way the IDF can be surgical and avoid press grabbing civilian casualties.

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Mr Ryan Sir, do you have an email address or other contact where I could send you some thoughts on the tunnel issue with some degree of confidentiality. There a couple of strategic issues in particular with the area which may not have been considered. Regards, Ron Hutchinson.

If necessary, you could check me out for background via LinkedIn.

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