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Great thread as ever.

I’m an amateur, but to me a key for Ukraine will be the delivery of more accurate missiles with longer range MUCH FASTER, for they will allow Ukraine the extend what you have termed their “corrosion strategy” further into Russian held territory.

All to say that I sincerely hope that the 9 month delivery timeline is for public consumption only, and that they (or a close facsimile) arrives sooner rather than later.

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Why did Putin pick Feb for his initial move? Talk about over-confidence.

If he really intends to concentrate his effort in the Donbas, that can be seen as a reduction of his initial goal of taking the whole country. If he has some success there, perhaps negos could ensue and an at least temporary peace could follow.

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Thank you this is great.I am interested in a break down of the new equipment and how it is divided up. Whether certain types of equipment is for forming new units and other used to reinforce active units in the field. How that is decided based on what information.

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founding

Dear Maj. General Ryan, Thank you for your clear and concise analysis. It does indeed appear to be "crunch time" in Ukraine over the next few months.

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