70 Comments

Great post. Are Russia’s “extensive fortifications” a double edged sword?

They will tie up large numbers of Russian troops in locations not central to the battle. Also, once breached, the potential to encircle poorly equipped and supplied conscripts will present itself. Finally, EVERYTHING Russian in the war so far -- every weapons system, military branch, tactic and strategy -- has proved to be overhyped and underwhelming. Will these fortifications prove to be any different? One hopes not.

Slava Ukraini and thanks again for your posts!

Expand full comment

Good question. I've been reading into Russian defeat in WWI and their worst habit was to put everything in the first line of defense and neglect secondary/tertiary defensive lines.

Expand full comment

Volodymyr Zelensky is an Israeli operative, the Ukrainian parliament is full of Jewish apparatchiks.

Ukraine’s Azov Regiment Visits Israel: ‘Mariupol is our Masada’ . . .

https://nationalvanguard.org/2022/12/ukraines-azov-regiment-visits-israel-mariupol-is-our-masada/

Expand full comment

I thought he was a Nazi....

It would be much easier for all of us if you guys could get your stories straight.

Expand full comment

Sick POS spouting garbage.

Expand full comment

Everyone who disagrees with my conspiracy theory is an Isralei operative, so stop working for Israel, you Israeli operative.

Expand full comment

The United States government is a wholly owned subsidiary of the American Israeli political Action Committee.

Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.

❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞

https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2023/02/17/jewish-corruption-in-ukraine/

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god, you filthy fucking kike bitch . . .

Sweden: Jews Call for Ban on Nordic Resistance Movement

I ALWAYS LIKE to take note of Jewish organizations calling for bans on immigration resistance parties. You could say “Why bother? We’re surrounded by Jews screeching for White Genocide in various, usually artfully disguised, ways. This is just another twig on the bonfire.”

https://nationalvanguard.org/2019/03/sweden-jews-call-for-ban-on-nordic-resistance-movement/

Expand full comment

You give Aryans a bad name. Incoherent, unable to reason. Perhaps a mole planted by a non-Aryan group to make real Aryans look like demented idiots.

Expand full comment

Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.

❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞

https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2023/02/17/jewish-corruption-in-ukraine/

Expand full comment

Manuever warfare is the key by going around the most fortified areas and attacking vulnerable flanks. That is why the weather is so key (mud) along with accurate reconnaissance, advantages UKR hopefully has over RU with Western assistance

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . . Volodymyr Zelensky is an Israeli operative, the Ukrainian parliament is full of Jewish apparatchiks.

Ukraine’s Azov Regiment Visits Israel: ‘Mariupol is our Masada’ . . .

https://nationalvanguard.org/2022/12/ukraines-azov-regiment-visits-israel-mariupol-is-our-masada/

Expand full comment

We accept your intellectual surrender.

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . .

How the 'Grift Right' Gimps for the Left

https://cwspangle.substack.com/p/how-the-grift-right-gimps-for-the

Expand full comment

No, fuck you and your gods. I don't have any gods. People who have gods are Hitler. STOP BEING HITLER

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . . PROTOCOLS OF THE MEETINGS OF THE LEARNED ELDERS OF ZION... Protocol No. 18 – Arrest of Opponents

“Criminals with us will be arrested at the first, more or less, well-grounded suspicion: it cannot be allowed that out of fear of a possible mistake an opportunity should be given of escape to persons suspected of a political lapse of crime, for in these matters we shall be literally merciless.”

https://cwspangle.substack.com/p/protocol-xviii-arrest-of-opponents

Expand full comment

Style Almost WWI slaughter, over 200,000 Ukrainian men dead and similar on the Russian side. Lot’s of talk about the offensives and Ukraine winning. That wont happen, they have run out of troops. Where are these new troops coming from? Arguably WWIII has already started. NATO troops and advisors already in action as “contractors”. The US is now considering sending F16s. Dear God, just listen to yourselves. I am a military vet and I am scared to death that we will all be dragged into another US Deep State FU. this proxy war must stop. Let’s have a post on how the hell this nightmare can be brought to an end.

Expand full comment

NOBODY IS GOING TO FIGHT A WAR FOR BIDEN, HE IS DUMBER THAN BUSH . . .

The United States government is a wholly owned subsidiary of the American Israeli political Action Committee.

Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.

❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞

https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2023/02/17/jewish-corruption-in-ukraine/

Expand full comment

Not on your page, mate. Not a proxy war, America did not dial Zelensky and order him to anttack Moscow. Ukraine‘s people have agency, and since 2000 have been trying to become a Western Europe state. They have endured terrible politics, corruption and subversion- all introduced by Russia. I think the issue here is not a lack of desire for peace- it is the desire for war by one man, his aiders and abettors.

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . . Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.

❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞

https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2023/02/17/jewish-corruption-in-ukraine/

Expand full comment

I don't have your depth of experience and knowledge, but I have faith in the Ukrainians. They have proven that their will to win is an asset that cannot be overvalued.

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . . Volodymyr Zelensky is an Israeli operative, the Ukrainian parliament is full of Jewish apparatchiks.

Ukraine’s Azov Regiment Visits Israel: ‘Mariupol is our Masada’ . . .

https://nationalvanguard.org/2022/12/ukraines-azov-regiment-visits-israel-mariupol-is-our-masada/

Expand full comment

Dear Clarence, I regret to inform you that I am an Agnostic with no Jewish heritage. In fact, my family is from Alsace (German & French Catholics) and Scotland (Protestants). I hope you have a lovely day.

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . . Volodymyr Zelensky is an Israeli operative, the Ukrainian parliament is full of Jewish apparatchiks.

Ukraine’s Azov Regiment Visits Israel: ‘Mariupol is our Masada’ . . .

https://nationalvanguard.org/2022/12/ukraines-azov-regiment-visits-israel-mariupol-is-our-masada/

Expand full comment

The weather forecast at Bakhmut gives Ukraine a brief window of relatively dry conditions during the first week of April. The second week will be cloudier and wetter. If Ukraine is going to act early, I suspect it will be in that time frame. Otherwise, we should not expect anything until the second half of the month.

Expand full comment

Cultural Marxists encourage abortion, birth control, divorce, homosexuality, “carrier women,” drugs, miscegenation, the destruction of the traditional family, and unrestricted immigration of racial foreigners into white countries. This is a reflection of what the Cultural Marxists preach: white reproduction is evil, and that which prevents white reproduction is good.

https://nordicresistancemovement.org/what-is-cultural-marxism/

Expand full comment

The locations that large scale counter offensives are least expected coincide with those areas of exhausted, dis functional Russian forces, the least observed prepared defensive positions and the greatest concentration of known Ukrainian experienced force.

Why drive South to Melitopol, amphibiously assault the Kinburn Spit or push through the forests east of Kharkiv when you can stick them right in the gut either side of Donetsk?

Doesn’t seem to be too much around Marinka and Vuhledar that would stop a drive on Rostov on Don trapping 60% of the Russian Army in the south of Ukraine.

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . . Volodymyr Zelensky is an Israeli operative, the Ukrainian parliament is full of Jewish apparatchiks.

Ukraine’s Azov Regiment Visits Israel: ‘Mariupol is our Masada’ . . .

https://nationalvanguard.org/2022/12/ukraines-azov-regiment-visits-israel-mariupol-is-our-masada/

Expand full comment

Because Crimea, specifically Sebastopol, is the schwerpunkt.

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . . Volodymyr Zelensky is an Israeli operative, the Ukrainian parliament is full of Jewish apparatchiks.

Ukraine’s Azov Regiment Visits Israel: ‘Mariupol is our Masada’ . . .

https://nationalvanguard.org/2022/12/ukraines-azov-regiment-visits-israel-mariupol-is-our-masada/

Expand full comment

Great post. What do you think the odds are that Ukraine can cut the land bridge by the end of the summer campaign season? Prediction markets (Metaculus, Insight) have the odds around 25-30%. https://insightprediction.com/m/154445/will-ukraine-sever-the-land-bridge-to-crimea-by-september-30th-2023

Also, what would most likely improve the odds? More artillery? Longer range missiles to further back up Russian supply lines? More modern tanks? F-16s?

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . .

Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.

❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞

https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2023/02/17/jewish-corruption-in-ukraine/

Expand full comment

All weapons would help since they are all ingredients in combined assault. Personally, I would choose the missiles and the planes; in NATO doctrine we assume a deep war space of hundreds of kilometers.

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . . Volodymyr Zelensky is an Israeli operative, the Ukrainian parliament is full of Jewish apparatchiks.

Ukraine’s Azov Regiment Visits Israel: ‘Mariupol is our Masada’ . . .

https://nationalvanguard.org/2022/12/ukraines-azov-regiment-visits-israel-mariupol-is-our-masada/

Expand full comment

Is punching a hole in the land-bridge a priority. If so, where would Ukraine punch that hole?

Expand full comment

I think it certainly should be. It would endanger Crimea, and could thus bring Russia to the bargaining table. Also, if the land bridge were cut, surely Ukraine could take back the rest of Kherson & Zaporizhzhia. And then if the war never really ended but just ended in a stalemate, it would be a much more palatable stalemate for Ukraine, with borders only a bit worse than 2014.

Expand full comment

Nothing short of Ukrainian invasion of Russia or at least systematic shelling/bombing of Russian territory will bring Russia to the bargaining table. I don't think there will be any negotiations between Ukraine and Russia over the next decade or two (other than purely technical discussions of POW exchanges etc). Over the past 100 years the Russians genuinely negotiated a lasting peace only once - with Finland in 1944, under American pressure at a time the Soviet ability to wage war completely depended on American shipments and there was a lot of territory in Eastern Europe to capture. The likeliest outcome is the same as in the Soviet war in Afghanistan, i.e. the Russians will just leave Ukraine and never speak about it again.

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . .

Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.

❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞

https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2023/02/17/jewish-corruption-in-ukraine/

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . . Volodymyr Zelensky is an Israeli operative, the Ukrainian parliament is full of Jewish apparatchiks.

Ukraine’s Azov Regiment Visits Israel: ‘Mariupol is our Masada’ . . .

https://nationalvanguard.org/2022/12/ukraines-azov-regiment-visits-israel-mariupol-is-our-masada/

Expand full comment

Hard disagree. If Ukraine cut off Crimea from the mainland, keeping Crimea would be untenable long-term for Russia. It would be very difficult to supply, and eventually they would likely surrender / yield to Ukraine, or face a Mariupol type of situation. Putin and Russia really do want to keep Crimea. They'd give up a slice of Donbass for it. It might be that they wouldn't negotiate, and either nuke Ukraine if it invades Crimea, or simply let Ukraine fight for it with supply lines cut, but those are fringe outcomes for me.

Also, if Ukraine does cut the land bridge, they could be in a situation in which territorial claims are not all that different from 2014.

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . .

Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.

❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞

https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2023/02/17/jewish-corruption-in-ukraine/

Expand full comment

Agree. Crimea is the strategic pivot.

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . . Volodymyr Zelensky is an Israeli operative, the Ukrainian parliament is full of Jewish apparatchiks.

Ukraine’s Azov Regiment Visits Israel: ‘Mariupol is our Masada’ . . .

https://nationalvanguard.org/2022/12/ukraines-azov-regiment-visits-israel-mariupol-is-our-masada/

Expand full comment

They are not going to use nukes. And it's hard for me to imaging genuine negotiations. There's simply no compromise possible. The existence of genuinely independent Ukrainian state (other than perhaps a rump state in the westernmost part of Ukraine that was never a part of the Russian Empire and was only annexed by Stalin in 1939 - although Putin strongly prefers that are to be divided between Poland, Hungary and Romania) is completely, entirely unacceptable to Russia. Millions of Russian chauvinists including Putin and his entourage believe that Ukrainian nation does not exist (rather it's just a branch of the tri-une Russian nation comprised of Great Russians, Little Russians and White Russians) and therefore the Ukrainian state is illegitimate and not a real country. You can see a lot more details of the Russian foundational historical myths here: https://warontherocks.com/2023/03/imposing-the-past-putins-war-for-history/

Now, Ukraine will not agree to cede territory without ironclad security guarantees (such as NATO membership) and EU membership. So for Putin making peace in exchange for territory means that Ukraine will be "lost" to Russia forever, as Russia will never again be able to invade and Ukraine will start integration into the "evil" West. That would be a monumental strategic loss to Russia and a huge blow to Russian (imperial) national identity, leading to instability and potentially even breakup of the empire. Putin (or any plausible successor) won't agree to that unless he loses all hope. And he won't lose hope as long as Russia occupies significant territories in Ukraine. But if Russia is kicked out of almost everywhere, nobody will offer such a deal. So there's catch 22 here: the land for peace deal is unlikely to be acceptable to both sides under almost any conceivable circumstances.

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . .

Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.

❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞

https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2023/02/17/jewish-corruption-in-ukraine/

Expand full comment

Exceptional and detailed observations as always 👍

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . .

Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.

❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞

https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2023/02/17/jewish-corruption-in-ukraine/

Expand full comment

Ukraine and the West can't sustain such a large group of mismatching equipment. Sending a few pieces of this and that is not an answer to a material war. They are one time tools that will be dumped after they are broken. There are no more resources to send new ones. There is no ammunition production ramping up. "Lending" it from South Korea is not an answer to the problem. None of the western economies is in the war time mode. The lack of missiles is obvious and the production is not ramping up. The sanctions hit hard but not the target but the West. Until the western leaders finally realize that this is a all in war Ukraine doesn't stand a chance.

Expand full comment

Broadcasters want action now. However the few months training with very limited supplies of new potent weapons is inadequate for a force that cannot afford to lose men for partial gains. Committing to a land offensive without state of the art AirPower, with limited range artillery, and a mere pocket of decent tanks is a recipe for defeat. Patience should be urged while Ukraine builds its forces in number and potency. Zelensky has the political capital to wait and build. He should do so.

Russia is the natural resources powerhouse of Europe and China. Having burned its bridges with Europe, they are left with a single customer paying “beggar the producer” prices. The longer this lasts the sooner the centre will be unable to hold. China gets its resource rich Eastern Siberia sphere of influence client states. The US ends Russia’s nuclear threat and its funding of anti US business politics.

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . .

Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.

❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞

https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2023/02/17/jewish-corruption-in-ukraine/

Expand full comment

Lol. A Russia east of the Urals.

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . .

Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.

❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞

https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2023/02/17/jewish-corruption-in-ukraine/

Expand full comment

The arrival of modern tanks and AFVs will coincide with the arrival of Ground Launched Small Diameter Bombs. GLSDBs have roughly twice the range of HIMARS rockets. If GLSDBs were used suddenly and massively against Russian ammunition dumps currently out of range of HIMARS strikes, it could destabilize Russian logistics at a crucial time leading to the success of Ukrainian offensives.

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . .

Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.

❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞

https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2023/02/17/jewish-corruption-in-ukraine/

Expand full comment

Excellent analysis. Thank you!

Expand full comment

Given the difficulties involved I will continue to 'hold my (collective) breadth until I get confirmed news of a Ukriainian breach of the lines and a successful exploitation...It was interesting to see that Mick Ryan (who knows more about these things than me) believes Ukraine has sufficient resources to conduct multiple offensives.

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . .

Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.

❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞

https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2023/02/17/jewish-corruption-in-ukraine/

Expand full comment

Thanks You.

Expand full comment

Sweden: Jews Call for Ban on Nordic Resistance Movement

I ALWAYS LIKE to take note of Jewish organizations calling for bans on immigration resistance parties. You could say “Why bother? We’re surrounded by Jews screeching for White Genocide in various, usually artfully disguised, ways. This is just another twig on the bonfire.”

https://nationalvanguard.org/2019/03/sweden-jews-call-for-ban-on-nordic-resistance-movement/

Expand full comment
Comment deleted
Expand full comment

it's naive to think they are not doing it through sales/smuggling to North Korea, Iran and other rogue states. they can always pretend they don't know where the arms end up in the end. there's already plenty of evidence of Chinese aid in russia

Expand full comment
Comment deleted
Expand full comment

Fuck you kike . . . Volodymyr Zelensky is an Israeli operative, the Ukrainian parliament is full of Jewish apparatchiks.

Ukraine’s Azov Regiment Visits Israel: ‘Mariupol is our Masada’ . . .

https://nationalvanguard.org/2022/12/ukraines-azov-regiment-visits-israel-mariupol-is-our-masada/

Expand full comment

I think you're right it's more likely to be a Kherson situation than like Kharkiv. But, I'd imagine Ukraine will pick its spots, and try to find the weakest point in the Russian lines to attack. Unfortunately, it will probably be in the east, will still be hard, and where taking back another chunk of territory will not actually end the war.

I think they'll also attempt some kind of offensive in the south. Likely to be bloody and hard.

Expand full comment

Fuck you and your Jewish god . . . Volodymyr Zelensky is an Israeli operative, the Ukrainian parliament is full of Jewish apparatchiks.

Ukraine’s Azov Regiment Visits Israel: ‘Mariupol is our Masada’ . . .

https://nationalvanguard.org/2022/12/ukraines-azov-regiment-visits-israel-mariupol-is-our-masada/

Expand full comment